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Thursday, November 5, 2009

NCAA Picks Week 10: Time to Realize

Not a real creative title.  I apologize but honestly, I think it is time for me to realize in my picks that upsets really aren't happening this year.  There is separation from the unbeatens and the others in the Top 25.  Plus there is another separation between the Top 25 and the other teams in the NCAA. 

1. Florida-vs. Vanderbilt- The Gators know they have locked down the SEC East already and they really will not have an issue with Vandy even without the quarterback of their defense Brandon Spikes.  UF 35-7

2. Texas-vs. UCF- The Longhorns seem to have a lot of cupcakes this year and they better blow out the Golden Knights because if they do not, I think they will be third again in the BCS.  The Longhorns seem to be improving every week so I do not see why they will not dominate.  TEXAS 45-10 

3. Alabama-vs. 9. LSU- The Tide hasn't been the Tigers in Tuscaloosa in 10 years and LSU has progressivly got better in the past couple of weeks.  I agree with the analysts that LSU quarterback Jarod Jefferson will be the difference.  Defense ball game with the Tide winning it due to Mark Ingram.  BAMA 16-10

4. Iowa-vs. Northwestern- The Hawkeyes have been labelded the "Comeback kids" after coming back in four games this year.  Kirk Ferentz has said the ranking doesnt fit and everyone else is too.  I think you see a big game out of the Hawkeyes because nothing I hate more than the Wildcats system of alternating quarterbacks.  IOWA 41-14  

5. Cincinnati-vs. UCONN- The Bearcats are on the national stage for all of us to see how they do against a Big East foe.  They still do not have Tony Pike but that hasn't really stopped them.  I think the Huskies get up for this one but it will be too much offense by the fourth quarter.  CINCY 34-24

6. TCU-at San Diego St.- The Horned Frogs have been awesome so far on the defensive end and they really have been doing all the right things.  Granted, I still do not think they deserve to be in the same league as Florida, Bama, Texas, and Iowa.  The Aztecs suck too by the way.  TCU 49-6

7. Boise State-at Lousiana Tech- People might think of this as an upset because of the extensive travel and Tech wanting to break the Broncos season.  It will not happened because the Bulldogs are not very good. I expect an inspired first half then its downhill after that.  BOISE 42-16

8. Oregon-at Stanford- "Chucks Corner Upset Alert" a couple of reasons why... ESPN has been hyping the Ducks hard and you know they are hearing all of that.  Plus you have the letdown factor against USC.  I think their defense will be too good for the Cardinal but it will be a close game.  ORE 17-14

9. LSU-SEE 3. Alabama

10. Georgia Tech-vs. Wake Forest- The Yellow Jackets have been moving up the charts with the great play of running back Jonathan Dwyer and they are playing a Wake team who probably should have won last week. Riley Skinner is banged up and Georgia Tech is at home.  GT 28-20

11. Penn State-vs. 16. Ohio State- The Nittany Lions could end the Buckeyes hopes of going to the Rose Bowl if they win and I am still not impressed with the Buckeyes.  The Nittany Lions defense is hungry and I think Daryll Clark wants this game bad.  PSU 20-13 

12. USC-at Arizona State- The Trojans try to bounce back in desert this week and the Sun Devils haven't been good like in the last couple of years. I see the Trojans bounce back nicely in this one.  USC 31-14

13. Pittsburgh-vs. Syracuse- The Panthers have bolted up the BCS and the Cincy-Pitt game is looming large in the next couple of weeks.  They have a freshman stud running back in Dion Harris and the Cuse struggled against the Bearcats. I do not foresee a close game in this one.  PITT 38-17 

14. Utah-vs. New Mexico- The Lobos have not won a game this year.  Rut roh.  This doesn't deserve any more talk about it.  UTAH 41-0 

15. Houston-at Tulsa- Should be a good C-USA battle. Both are two good teams and I was stunned to see Casey Keenum dropped 559 yards passing last weekend.  I think the Cougars offense will be too much for the Golden Hurricane.  HOU 42-31 

16. Ohio State-SEE 11. Penn State

17. Miami-vs. Virginia- The Hurricanes pulled one out of their asses last weekend. I really thought the playcalling was shotty at best down the stretch.  They are lucky to win last week but the Cavs aren't a good team. The U will roll.  MIA 31-9 

18. Arizona-vs. Wash. State- I cannot believe how bad the Cougars are.  They would even take Ryan Leaf back as quarterback now that might help out things.  The Cats will take care of business.  ZONA 52-3 

19. Oklahoma State-at Iowa State- The Cowboys laid a complete egg at home last weekend and now they travel for rather chilly game so far. The Cyclones are in the very weak Big 12 North and I think this one will pull away from Iowa State.  OSU 31-21 

20. California-vs. Oregon State- A good battle between Jacquizz Rodgers and Jahvid Best at the running back position.  It will probably be a clock management game between these two teams and Cal will hit a late FG to win it.  CAL 23-20 

21. Wisconsin-at Indiana- Good to see the Badgers back in the BCS and they have been hanging around the fourth spot in the Big 10.  Indiana seems lost and they cannot hold a lead.  This team is in a bad place and the Badger defense has been strong in the past couple of weeks.  UW 28-10 

22. Notre Dame-vs. Navy- The last time the Navel Academy came to South Bend, they knocked them off but not this time.  People are starting to realize that Jimmy Clausen deserves the Heisman so far and they will have full control of this game.  ND 34-7 

23. Virigina Tech- at East Carolina- The usual Thursday night game and this one brings back memories of the first week of the season last year where the Pirates upset the Hokies.  I do not for see that happening this year because ECU struggled against good teams this year so far losing by 10+ points.  VT 28-17

24. Oklahoma-at Nebraska- A classic rivalry that we do not see enough.  The Cornhuskers need to make a statement that the Big 12 North can compete with the other divison.  I will give them the benefit of the doubt and pull this one out at home.  NEB 24-21 

-Charlie.

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