The New Logo

The New Logo

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

BCS Thoughts/Feelings

I really do not plan to make this a weekly feature but I feel with the first BCS standings out, we could take a look at each unbeaten teams. You have to think they will fall sometime so I am going to look at possible trap games for each team. Plus the chances they make the National Championship.

6. Iowa Hawkeyes- An unbeaten team whose been impressive in the last couple of weeks with big wins over Big 10 powers, Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Ricky Stanzi's progression as a quarterback in my opinion is a big reason why the Hawkeyes keep on winning. The defense has also been stellar, after giving up ten points to the Badgers early, the Hawkeyes shut down the run and the Badgers couldn't pass.
TRAPS: at Michigan State (10/24) at Ohio State (11/14)- Its been forever since the Hawkeyes have won at East Lasing and they seem to be improving. The Buckeyes are very tough at the Horseshoe but Iowa would be sitting pretty for at least the Big 10 title if OSU were to lose to Penn State, the week before.
CHANCES: B- The Big 10 is a tough conference this year and could see Iowa trip in one of these games although their chances for the Big 10 title are very good.

5. Cincinnati Bearcats- The Bearcats are the hot commodity in the Big East right now and this has been a common theme in past couple years with teams like Louisville/South Florida. The big concern is that Tony Pike might not play for the next couple of weeks. Although Brian Kelly is an offensive mastermind.
TRAPS: vs. UCONN (11/07), vs. West Virginia (11/13), at Pittsburgh (12/05)- Those are all hard games and with two at home really helps things out. I think there could be two losses there and once again if Pike isn't back, could be disastrous.
CHANCES: D, I think if they do somehow go undefeated then they deserve to play in the National Championship but I highly doubt that they will run through the Big East even though it isn't a tough BCS conference.

4. Boise St. Broncos- I am not huge fan of these mid-major teams and they have done nothing for the fourth spot minus winning. You might say Chuck thats the point but they are on a whole other level then the teams in WAC conference. They should play at least two quality Pac-10 teams to convince the votes in my opinion.
TRAPS: vs. Idaho (11/14), vs. Nevada (11/27)- Both of these teams are ahead of them in the standings but I really see they will not have a problem with either teams. Also these are home games therefore they should win by double-digits.
CHANCES: C- I honestly do not believe even if they go undefeated, they will be shut out from the National Championship and people will complain although they will get their asses kicked.

3. Texas Longhorns- Another team that I have no been impressed with all year. They seem to turn it on when they want to because usually they come on real strong in the second half. Colt McCoy also hasn't been impressed at all this season in my opinion. Teams like Wyoming, Colorado, and Oklahoma have hung around far too long.
TRAPS: at Missouri (10/24), at Oklahoma State (10/31) at Texas A&M (11/26)- All tough road games for the Longhorns and the Aggies aren't that good yet still a rivalry where they could turn it on.
CHANCES: B+ I really have a hard time believing that the Longhorns will be undefeated by the end of the year. The next two games will say a lot about Texas and if they show up win by 10+, I will be convinced.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide- The Tide have been rolling so far, people are starting to believe in Mark Ingram for a Heisman and their defense looks like the best in the business. You do have to wonder about a young quarterback but Nick Saban is easily a top five head coach in the NCAA. TRAPS: vs. LSU (11/07) at Auburn (11/27)- I think that Tiger game becomes very interesting with Gene Chizik wanting to make his stamp on the program plus LSU has those Saban feeling. Also the SEC Championship would be huuuuuuge.
CHANCES: A- Basically here is how I see it... the SEC Championship is a play-in game for the National Championship. They came so close to beat Tim Tebow last year but it seemed like Urban Meyer had Saban's number though.

1. Florida Gators- They have shown no signs of stopping down and the Gators are having some problems on offense with no receivers getting open for Tim Tebow. I believe it's unfair to call him the Heisman right now with the lack of production so far. Their defense could be the best in that nation plus one of those defenses we remember for years.
TRAPS: vs. Georgia (10/31) vs. South Carolina (11/14)- I think the whole Spurrier angle is huge and the fact, they came close against Bama (bad play calling hurt them a ton). Georgia is an always interesting rivalry game to see what happens.
CHANCES: A, No more challenging road games left and they have the toughest stadium in the nation with the Swamp. I think the Arkansas game was a let down and I think the Gators will roll there way to the SEC Championship.

My roommate E proposed what happens if Alabama/Florida unbeaten and the game is 31-28 something like that. Would the computers be convinced to keep them in the top spots? This happened with Florida-Florida State years ago and many would hate this as a National Championship. There will be people proposing it. My pick... USC-Florida.

-Charlie.

No comments: